Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.48	2.72
	1.41	2.64	Watch
	1.46	2.61	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
63.3%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 208. Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 232.

Reis Da Silva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodriguez Taverna has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Reis Da Silva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis	Reis Da Silva J. walkover ✺
30.09.25	Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLW?W
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.10.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nicolas Zanellato	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Rudolf Molleker	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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