Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.3
	3.58	1.32
	2.58	1.47	Watch
			Watch
	3.17	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
30.1%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 220. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 265.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Diaz Acosta is the team to beat.

We predict that Diaz Acosta will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis	Reis Da Silva J. walkover ✺
30.09.25	Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 W?WLW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.01.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2
14.11.21	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2

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