Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.69	1.51
	2.63	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.08)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
36%

Ignacio Buse
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Buse will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 426. Buse is ranked ATP: 227.

Reis Da Silva is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Buse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Reis Da Silva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Reis Da Silva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.61%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Bautista Vilicich	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1 ✺
03.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Ignacio Buse - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.10.21	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2

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