Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.56
	2.54	1.53
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.05)	1.58 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
40.7%

Facundo Bagnis
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Bagnis will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Facundo Bagnis will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 222. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 431.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bagnis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reis Da Silva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Maximus Jones - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Alexander Blockx - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLL
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.23	Facundo Bagnis - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.23	Facundo Bagnis - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1
ATP Challenger
23.10.22	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis	0:2
30.11.20	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Bagnis	1:2

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