Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Matias Soto		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.77	1.46
	2.56	1.46	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.63)	1.45 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
35.8%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Matias Soto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 280. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 222.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Reis Da Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Reis Da Silva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Soto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Matias Soto - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Tomasz Berkieta - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Matias Soto - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Maximus Jones - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Alexander Blockx - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:0
ITF Tournaments
06.08.22	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	0:2

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