Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ROME (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 May 2023, Monday


	Joao Sousa		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
			Watch
	3.5	1.28
	3.85	1.26
	3.8	1.25
	3.82	1.28
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.65	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.84)	1.25 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
25%

Roman Safiullin
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Sousa's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Joao Sousa - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Safiullin will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sousa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Safiullin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
02.05.23	Luca Van Assche - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Joao Sousa - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.23	Casper Ruud - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Roman Safiullin - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
25.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Joao Sousa	2:0

Joao Sousa - Roman Safiullin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide