Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: MADRID (SPAIN) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	00:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	SportKlub
Brazil	11:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	17:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	16:00	Eurosport 2
France	16:00	Eurosport 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV
Romania	17:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	16:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	17:00	Setanta Sports


	Roman Safiullin		Bernabe Zapata Miralles

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.32	1.61
	2.34	1.61
	2.39	1.65
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.59	Watch
	2.42	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.5)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
40.4%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
59.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	0%	39.1%

Roman Safiullin - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 28 - 60.9%). Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 46.8% – 75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zapata Miralles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zapata Miralles will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Tommy Paul - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
25.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
18.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWL
- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
17.04.23	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Attila Balazs	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWL

Roman Safiullin - Bernabe Zapata Miralles

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Roman Safiullin - Bernabe Zapata Miralles Predictions

Preview

Form

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