Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Roman Safiullin		Joao Sousa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.58	2.35
	1.59	2.36
	1.56	2.49
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.6)	2.37 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
60.3%

Joao Sousa
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Roman Safiullin - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Safiullin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Safiullin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Banja Luka
18.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Roman Safiullin - Filip Krajinovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.23	Gregoire Barrere - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
21.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
18.04.23	Joao Sousa - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
05.04.23	Casper Ruud - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
04.04.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Joao Sousa - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches