Match Info

Date: 28 October 2021, Thursday


	John Millman		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.25
	3.9	1.26	Watch
	3.8	1.24
	4.22	1.27
	4	1.25
	3.92	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.46)	1.26 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Millman
24.1%

Aslan Karatsev
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Millman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Millman than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

John Millman - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (45 of 51 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Millman is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karatsev is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Karatsev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Karatsev to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Millman
ATP St Petersburg
26.10.21	John Millman - Yshai Oliel	2:0 ✺
ATP Moscow
22.10.21	John Millman - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
20.10.21	Illya Marchenko - John Millman	1:2 ✺
18.10.21	John Millman - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	John Millman - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Moscow
24.10.21	Marin Cilic - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Karen Khachanov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Gilles Simon - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
21.10.21	Egor Gerasimov - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

John Millman - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide