Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Jonas Forejtek		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.43
	1.25	3.53	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	3.22 ↑ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
71%

Lorenzo Carboni
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonas Forejtek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jonas Forejtek - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Carboni will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forejtek is ranked ATP: 307. Carboni is ranked ATP: 470.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Forejtek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Forejtek will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Simone Rossolino	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Joao Domingues - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Norbert Gombos	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Sebastiano Cocola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW

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