Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Norbert Gombos

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.85
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.88	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
48%

Norbert Gombos
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Norbert Gombos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norbert Gombos than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lorenzo Carboni - Norbert Gombos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Carboni will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 470. Gombos is ranked ATP: 341.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gombos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Norbert Gombos - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.68%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Niels McDonald	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Sebastiano Cocola	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWL
- Norbert Gombos
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Carlo Alberto Caniato	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Norbert Gombos - Ivan Gakhov	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Norbert Gombos - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

Lorenzo Carboni - Norbert Gombos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide