Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jordan Thompson		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.16	1.34	Watch
	3.43	1.35
	3.34	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.29	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
29.1%

Corentin Moutet
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Moutet will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jordan Thompson: 67.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 35.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jordan Thompson will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 57. Moutet is ranked ATP: 41.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Moutet is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jordan Thompson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Jordan Thompson - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jordan Thompson	Thompson J. retired ✺
04.07.25	Luciano Darderi - Jordan Thompson	1:3 ✺
02.07.25	Jordan Thompson - Benjamin Bonzi	3:2 ✺
30.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 L?WWW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Corentin Moutet - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Jordan Thompson	2:1

Jordan Thompson - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide