Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Luciano Darderi		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	2.2	1.67
	2.3	1.6
	2.16	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.78
			Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.24	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.96)	1.68 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
43%

Jordan Thompson
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jordan Thompson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jordan Thompson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	0%	80.6%

Luciano Darderi - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Darderi (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jordan Thompson will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jordan Thompson will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Jordan Thompson (votes: 15 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 59. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 44.

In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jordan Thompson is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jordan Thompson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Jordan Thompson will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Arthur Fery - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
30.06.25	Luciano Darderi - Roman Safiullin	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
28.06.25	Marin Cilic - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Matteo Berrettini - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Jordan Thompson - Benjamin Bonzi	3:2 ✺
30.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
ATP London
17.06.25	Jordan Thompson - Jaume Munar	Thompson J. retired ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.25	Jordan Thompson - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
09.06.25	Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WW?LW

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