Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: 1573 Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.43	Watch
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.07)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
33.6%

Jordan Thompson
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Jordan Thompson (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jordan Thompson will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jordan Thompson will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 85. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 113.

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jordan Thompson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jordan Thompson is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Auckland
10.01.26	Eliot Spizzirri - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alafia Ayeni	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz	Thompson J. retired ✺
22.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWW?W

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