Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: RIO DE JANEIRO (BRAZIL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 February 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.4
	3.1	1.41
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.55)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
31.5%

Cameron Norrie
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Manuel Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cameron Norrie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Norrie will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Norrie is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Norrie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Norrie will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Norrie to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Cordoba
10.02.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
09.02.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Buenos Aires
19.02.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
17.02.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
15.02.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.23	Nicolas Mejia - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

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