Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA 2 (PERU), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 November 2023, Friday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.65
	1.52	2.65
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.54	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	2.52 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
62.5%

Luciano Darderi
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
09.11.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
21.10.23	Filip Misolic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Filip Misolic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLL?
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
09.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Luciano Darderi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
31.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.22	Luciano Darderi - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

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