Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Juncheng Shang		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.24
	1.76	2.06	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	2.24 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
57.1%

Nuno Borges
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	0%	22.6%

Juncheng Shang - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Borges will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shang: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juncheng Shang will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shang is ranked ATP: 237. Borges is ranked ATP: 51.

Shang has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borges is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Borges may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.48%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Karen Khachanov - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Nuno Borges - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
02.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Nuno Borges - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?WLW

Juncheng Shang - Nuno Borges: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide