Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Referee: Haigh R. (Gbr)


	Juncheng Shang		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.82	2.1
	1.83	2.1
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	2.06 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
53.5%

Stefano Napolitano
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Juncheng Shang - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Napolitano will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Roma
07.05.24	Zizou Bergs - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Tomas Machac - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Jeffrey John Wolf	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Stefano Napolitano - Matteo Berrettini	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 W?LLW

Juncheng Shang - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide