Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Justin Engel		Andrea Guerrieri

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.44	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.28)	2.7 ↓ (3.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Engel
65.3%

Andrea Guerrieri
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Engel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justin Engel's form might have worsened.

Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Guerrieri's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Justin Engel - Andrea Guerrieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Engel will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Guerrieri will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Guerrieri (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guerrieri (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Engel is ranked ATP: 195. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 573.

Engel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guerrieri is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Engel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Engel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Engel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Mark Lajal - Justin Engel	Engel J. walkover ✺
18.11.25	Justin Engel - Hamish Stewart	Stewart H. retired ✺
04.11.25	Chris Rodesch - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Justin Engel - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ??LWW
- Andrea Guerrieri
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Alexander Donski - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Leonardo Malgaroli - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Petros Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.04.25	Justin Engel - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0

Justin Engel - Andrea Guerrieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide