Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mallorca 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Justin Engel		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.37	1.6
	2.52	1.50	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Engel
38.7%

Jurij Rodionov
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Engel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Justin Engel aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Jurij Rodionov aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Justin Engel - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Engel will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rodionov will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Engel is ranked ATP: 220. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 154.

Recent performances by Engel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rodionov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Engel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodionov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Rodionov will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Justin Engel - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Justin Engel - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Justin Engel - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Lautaro Midon - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWW

Justin Engel - Jurij Rodionov

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Justin Engel - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Preview

Form

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