Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Karen Khachanov		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.71	1.52
	2.52	1.53
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.64	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.3)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
36.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Davidovich Fokina (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Khachanov (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Khachanov (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 27. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 30.

Recent matches Khachanov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davidovich Fokina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Davidovich Fokina to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Barcelona
17.04.25	Jaume Munar - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Nick Kyrgios - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Barcelona
17.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Karen Khachanov	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2
ATP Paris
02.11.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Karen Khachanov	2:1

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