Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.55	1.28	Watch
	3.93	1.28
	3.74	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.65	1.29	Watch
	3.55	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.38)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
26.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Wawrinka (1.94) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

H/A, 1st Set - Davidovich Fokina (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Wawrinka (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 163. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42.

Recent matches Wawrinka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Davidovich Fokina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wawrinka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Davidovich Fokina is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.25	Luciano Darderi - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Coric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
17.10.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2

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