Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	2.57 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
63%

Alexei Popyrin
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	0%	27.6%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Popyrin will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 27.

Davidovich Fokina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Popyrin is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Popyrin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Boys Singles French Open
09.06.17	Alexei Popyrin - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

Upcoming Matches