Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4	1.24	Watch
	4.3	1.22	Watch
	4.15	1.24	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.23	Watch
	4.3	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.86)	1.22 ↓ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
22.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
77.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

75.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 42. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Davidovich Fokina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alcaraz Garfia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Arthur Fils - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
21.04.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

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