Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Casper Ruud		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.26	4.5
	1.26	4.05	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.25	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)	4.22 ↑ (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
77.3%

Karen Khachanov
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casper Ruud's performance.

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karen Khachanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casper Ruud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Khachanov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Khachanov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is ranked ATP: 25. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 15.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Ruud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ruud is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ruud won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Casper Ruud - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Casper Ruud - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.26	Casper Ruud - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Karen Khachanov - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition UTS Championship Men
03.04.26	Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov	3:1
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Casper Ruud	2:0
ATP US Open
09.09.22	Karen Khachanov - Casper Ruud	1:3
ATP Roma
14.09.20	Karen Khachanov - Casper Ruud	1:2

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