Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2023, Friday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)


	Karen Khachanov		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.95	1.86
	1.91	1.9
	1.99	1.92
	2	1.8
	1.95	1.86	Watch
	2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)	1.87 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
48.8%

Francis Tiafoe
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.2%	0%	79.8%

Karen Khachanov - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (67 of 84 users predict this - 79.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.17% – 88.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Recent matches Khachanov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Khachanov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Karen Khachanov - Jason Kubler	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Karen Khachanov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.23	Jack Draper - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
10.01.23	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Adelaide
05.01.23	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Australian Open
17.01.23	Juncheng Shang - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
07.01.23	Francis Tiafoe - Lorenzo Musetti	Musetti L. retired ✺
05.01.23	Kacper Zuk - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
05.01.23	Daniel Michalski - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WW?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
02.07.21	Francis Tiafoe - Karen Khachanov	0:3
07.07.18	Karen Khachanov - Francis Tiafoe	3:2

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