Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Barcelona 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:40	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	14:40	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	13:40	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	13:40	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	14:40	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	13:40	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	13:40	TV4 Play


	Karen Khachanov		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.6
	2.54	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.44	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.25)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
39.1%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
60.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Karen Khachanov - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Rune will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Rune (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 27. Rune is ranked ATP: 13.

Recent matches Khachanov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rune is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rune will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rune to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Jaume Munar - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
09.01.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Karen Khachanov	2:0

Karen Khachanov - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune