Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Karen Khachanov		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.3
	1.35	3.6
	1.36	3.18	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.35	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	3.38 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
71.6%

Jesper De Jong
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Karen Khachanov aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Jesper De Jong aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

Karen Khachanov - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 13 - 52%). De Jong will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 1 - 50%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Khachanov (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 15. De Jong is ranked ATP: 106.

Khachanov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

De Jong is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Khachanov is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khachanov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.74%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Marco Trungelliti	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Gea	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.26	Ugo Humbert - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Karen Khachanov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLW?
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.26	Federico Cina - Jesper De Jong	0:3 ✺
25.05.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Jesper De Jong	1:3 ✺
21.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Michael Zheng	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Jesper De Jong - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
11.02.26	Karen Khachanov - Jesper De Jong	2:1

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