Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Karen Khachanov		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.35	3.25	Watch
	1.35	3.36
	1.35	3.18	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.34	3.27	Watch
	1.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	3.34 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
71.5%

Reilly Opelka
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Karen Khachanov - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Opelka will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Opelka (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karen Khachanov will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 3 - 75%). Opelka (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 25. Opelka is ranked ATP: 103.

Two players are playing changeable.

Khachanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Khachanov is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Karen Khachanov - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 68.03%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Barcelona
19.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Jaume Munar - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Reilly Opelka - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Reilly Opelka - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Christopher Eubanks - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW

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