Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday


	Karen Khachanov		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.53	2.47	Watch
	1.58	2.52
	1.6	2.41	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.53	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)	2.45 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
61.2%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karen Khachanov's form might have worsened.

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Seyboth Wild's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Karen Khachanov - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 78.

Now both players are in good shape.

Khachanov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty
20.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Marcos Giron - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Vienna
20.10.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.10.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Karen Khachanov - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2

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