Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty (Kazakhstan) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	13:00	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	12:00	Premier Sport 2
Germany	12:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Romania	13:00	Digi Sport 4


	Karen Khachanov		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.31	Watch
	1.66	2.37
	1.68	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.64	2.28	Watch
	1.59	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
58.9%

Gabriel Diallo
41.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Karen Khachanov - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Diallo will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26. Diallo is ranked ATP: 118.

Recent matches Khachanov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Diallo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Diallo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Khachanov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty
19.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Marcos Giron - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Almaty
19.10.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Borna Coric - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Christopher OConnell - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Gabriel Diallo - Karen Khachanov	0:2

Karen Khachanov - Gabriel Diallo