Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Marcos Giron		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.54
	2.68	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.64	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)	1.5 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
36.5%

Karen Khachanov
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Marcos Giron - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Khachanov will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 47. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 25.

Giron is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Khachanov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giron could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Khachanov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Li Tu - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Marcos Giron - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Alex De Minaur - Marcos Giron	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	James Duckworth - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Daniel Evans - Karen Khachanov	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

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