Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Katerina Siniakova		Caty McNally

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.18	1.81
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	1.98	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.89)	1.75 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
45.5%

Caty McNally
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Caty McNally has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Katerina Siniakova - Caty McNally Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). McNally will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McNally: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 42. McNally is ranked WTA: 76.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

McNally may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siniakova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Katerina Siniakova - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Clara Tauson - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
22.04.26	Elvina Kalieva - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Magdalena Frech - Katerina Siniakova	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elina Svitolina	Siniakova K. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 ?W?L?
- Caty McNally
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Caty McNally - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Caty McNally - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
15.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Caty McNally - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
31.03.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
03.10.25	Katerina Siniakova - Caty McNally	2:0

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