Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Katerina Siniakova		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.85	2.04
	1.84	1.92	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.85	2.04	Watch
	1.92	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	1.99 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katerina Siniakova
52.2%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katerina Siniakova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Katerina Siniakova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siniakova: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Osorio Serrano (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 25%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Siniakova is ranked WTA: 42. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 58.

Siniakova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Osorio Serrano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Osorio Serrano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Siniakova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Indian Wells
11.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elina Svitolina	Siniakova K. retired ✺
09.03.26	Mirra Andreeva - Katerina Siniakova	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Katerina Siniakova - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Katerina Siniakova - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 ?WWWL
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Iva Jovic - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Sloane Stephens - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
25.02.26	Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Osorio C. retired ✺
24.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
10.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	2:1
ATP Challenger
04.05.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	0:2

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