Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Kaylan Bigun		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.35
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3	1.35
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.58)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaylan Bigun
32%

Keegan Smith
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaylan Bigun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaylan Bigun than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Kaylan Bigun - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bigun is ranked ATP: 594., and Smith is ranked ATP: 199..

In recent outings, Bigun has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Smith is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Smith could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smith holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bigun has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Keegan Smith - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.21%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaylan Bigun
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Alafia Ayeni - Kaylan Bigun	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Noah Zamora - Kaylan Bigun	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Andrew Fenty - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Keshav Chopra - Kaylan Bigun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
23.09.26	Keegan Smith - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Keegan Smith - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Mitchell Krueger - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Keegan Smith - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Keegan Smith - Kaylan Bigun	2:0

Kaylan Bigun - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide