Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday


	Kei Nishikori		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.19	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
55.1%

Cameron Norrie
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.1%	0%	4.9%

Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: Kei Nishikori will win (39 of 40 users predict this - 97.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.66% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 106. Norrie is ranked ATP: 49.

Nishikori in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Norrie is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nishikori to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nishikori won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
31.12.24	Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Jacob Fearnley - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
30.12.24	Cameron Norrie - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
09.11.24	Cameron Norrie - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
08.11.24	Corentin Moutet - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Cameron Norrie - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
05.08.21	Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie	2:1
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.19	Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie	3:0

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