Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Kyrian Jacquet		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.00	1.81	Watch
	2.19	1.80
	1.78	1.97	Watch
	2.09	1.78
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.9)	1.76 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyrian Jacquet
45.9%

Marco Trungelliti
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyrian Jacquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Kyrian Jacquet - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Jacquet will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacquet (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Trungelliti (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Trungelliti (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacquet (votes: 2 - 40%). Trungelliti (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jacquet is ranked ATP: 139. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 94.

Jacquet is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Trungelliti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jacquet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Alexander Bublik	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Vilius Gaubas	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Timofey Skatov - Kyrian Jacquet	0:3 ✺
24.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Martin Damm	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.26	Giles Hussey - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Felix Gill - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Marco Trungelliti	0:3

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