Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Marco Trungelliti		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.6	1.47
	2.43	1.47
	2.74	1.48
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.68	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.2)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
37.1%

Thiago Monteiro
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Monteiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	0%	77.3%

Marco Trungelliti - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Monteiro will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monteiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trungelliti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monteiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trungelliti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
15.04.22	Christopher OConnell - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
14.04.22	Marco Trungelliti - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
13.04.22	Alessandro Giannessi - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
08.04.22	Norbert Gombos - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
07.04.22	Michael Geerts - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
15.04.22	Sebastian Ofner - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
13.04.22	Zsombor Piros - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
12.04.22	Pedro Sousa - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
11.04.22	Christopher OConnell - Thiago Monteiro	Canceled
04.04.22	Thiago Monteiro - Kacper Zuk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.21	Marco Trungelliti - Thiago Monteiro	2:0
21.09.18	Marco Trungelliti - Thiago Monteiro	0:2

Marco Trungelliti - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide