Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Lautaro Midon		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.43	2.97
	1.38	2.78	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.7 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
65.3%

Gonzalo Villanueva
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lautaro Midon - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Villanueva will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villanueva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 226. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 344.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Villanueva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Midon is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Daniel Vallejo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nicolas Villalon	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Bautista De La Pena	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	2:1
23.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	2:1

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