Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Learner Tien		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.34	3.1
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.34	3.18	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
70.8%

Gregoire Barrere
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Learner Tien - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 122. Barrere is ranked ATP: 162.

Recent matches Tien is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrere is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barrere could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tien is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Hong Kong
30.12.24	Cameron Norrie - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
22.12.24	Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
21.12.24	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
20.12.24	Arthur Fils - Learner Tien	1:3 ✺
19.12.24	Learner Tien - Joao Fonseca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLWWL
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
04.01.25	Aslan Karatsev - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
02.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
02.01.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
01.01.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

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