Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.33	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.56	Watch
	2.30	1.64
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.43	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.45)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
40.3%

Paula Badosa
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jelena Ostapenko - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Badosa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 32., and Badosa is ranked WTA: 59..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 3.

Ostapenko is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Badosa shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Badosa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Badosa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Badosa in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ostapenko has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Paula Badosa - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.87%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Seoul
24.09.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Tatjana Maria - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Shuai Zhang - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?
- Paula Badosa
WTA Beijing
01.10.26	Paula Badosa - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
19.09.26	Nadia Podoroska - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mary Stoiana - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
08.02.26	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	Canceled
WTA Toronto
08.08.24	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
WTA Roma
17.05.23	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
WTA Sydney
09.01.22	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA St Petersburg
15.03.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Paula Badosa	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
03.10.20	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0

Jelena Ostapenko - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide