Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Li Tu		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.77	2.14
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	2.13 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Li Tu
56%

Rio Noguchi
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Li Tu - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Tu will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tu is ranked ATP: 428. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245.

Tu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noguchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tu could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.53%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ryo Tabata - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Shinji Hazawa - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 W?WWW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo	Canceled ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Li Tu	2:0

Li Tu - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide