Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Lloyd Harris		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.8
			Watch
	1.42	2.74	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.9	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.35)	2.1 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
54.4%

Zachary Svajda
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zachary Svajda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zachary Svajda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lloyd Harris - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Svajda will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 1 - 50%). Svajda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 258. Svajda is ranked ATP: 129.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Svajda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Svajda might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Svajda will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Lloyd Harris - Hanyi Liu	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Lloyd Harris - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Fajing Sun - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?LWWW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Novak Djokovic - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Zsombor Piros	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW

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