Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95	Watch
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.76	2.02
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	1.97 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
53%

Gonzalo Villanueva
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Carboni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lorenzo Carboni - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carboni will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Villanueva will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Carboni will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 535. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 380.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Carboni - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Andrea Picchione - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Jerome Kym	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
25.06.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
19.06.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Lorenzo Carboni - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide