Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Jonas Forejtek

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.39	2.8
	1.44	2.96
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.81 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
66.7%

Jonas Forejtek
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marco Trungelliti - Jonas Forejtek Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Forejtek (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Forejtek (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Forejtek is ranked ATP: 356.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trungelliti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trungelliti is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.11%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Matej Dodig - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Flynn Thomas	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW

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