Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.60	Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.5	2.74
	1.42	2.64	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.07	6.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	3.18 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
69.6%

Lorenzo Giustino
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maks Kasnikowski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maks Kasnikowski - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 281. Giustino is ranked ATP: 211.

In recent matches, Kasnikowski has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giustino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Giustino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kasnikowski is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Marko Topo	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Maks Kasnikowski - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide