Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	3.77	1.31
	3.91	1.23	Watch
	3.53	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.92)	1.29 ↑ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
26%

Alexander Zverev
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

75.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Zverev (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Zverev (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Arnaldi (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaldi (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zverev (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 72. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Brussels
15.10.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Vienna
21.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
15.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alexander Zverev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
31.07.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1

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