Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.52
	2.59	1.54
	2.59	1.54
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.44)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
37.3%

Denis Shapovalov
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Musetti is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Dubai
27.02.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
12.02.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
07.02.24	Tomas Machac - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
05.02.24	Maximilian Marterer - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Hugo Gaston - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWW

Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide