Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Lorenzo Musetti		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	1.5	2.63
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.6
	1.57	2.54
	1.57	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.53	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	2.55 (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
62.6%

Gael Monfils
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Monfils will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monfils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monfils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Umag
27.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Jakub Mensik - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Dusan Lajovic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWL
- Gael Monfils
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Gael Monfils	3:0 ✺
04.07.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Gael Monfils	0:3 ✺
01.07.24	Gael Monfils - Adrian Mannarino	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
28.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Gael Monfils - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3
ATP Vienna
27.10.21	Gael Monfils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0

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