Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 21 April 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lorenzo Musetti		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.37
	3.1	1.36
	3.24	1.4
	3.1	1.36
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.46)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
29.9%

Jannik Sinner
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

72.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Sinner will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sinner is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sinner to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
19.04.23	Jason Kubler - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
12.04.23	Luca Nardi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLWW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Barcelona
20.04.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
19.04.23	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
15.04.23	Jannik Sinner - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Antwerp
20.10.21	Jannik Sinner - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0

Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide